The author is alive and well and living somewhere west of the Greenwich meridian.
 
Google
Long Dark Tea-Time Web
Site hosted by DreamHost
 
Archives
March 2003
April 2003
May 2003
June 2003
July 2003
August 2003
September 2003
October 2003
November 2003
December 2003
January 2004
February 2004
March 2004
April 2004
May 2004
June 2004
July 2004
August 2004
September 2004
October 2004
November 2004
December 2004
January 2005
February 2005
March 2005
April 2005
May 2005
June 2005
July 2005
August 2005
September 2005
October 2005
November 2005
<< current
 
Tea-Time Feeds
Atom feed Atom feed
Subscribe with Bloglines Bloglines subscribe
Add to Yahoo MyYahoo subscribe
 
All your links are belong to us
Chicken or Beef?
eAsylum.net
Hateful Things
KnowProSE
K'vitsh
The Long Dark Tech-time of the Soul
The Mad Prophet Blog
Meg Does Blogs
Net Politik
Rush Limbaughtomy the Dittohead Recovery Site
South Knox Bubba
 
Rolling, rolling, rolling
Alternet.org
Angry Bear
Arianna's Blog
The Big Picture
Curry Blog
General Glut's Globblog
GuvWurld
In These Times
It's Still The Economy Stupid
Let's run the numbers
Tufte's Economics Classes Blog

SF  Bay Blogger
 
Douglas Adams
1952/3/11 - 2001/5/11

DNA Home Page
Wikipedia Entry
The Long Dark Tea-Time of the Soul Novel
H2G2
 
StatCounter:
SiteMeter:
 
Creative Commons License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons License

The Long Dark Tea-Time of the Soul
Miscellaneous ramblings written as my soul endures a long dark tea-time
 
Monday, March 22, 2004  
WMDs from space: update

Apparently the $3.5M Nasa is spending each year on it LINEAR programme is to look for 1km and above sized asteroids. These are the size of object that will definitely crash to the Earths surface and will probably wipe out human life in the process. So far about half of the estimated 1,000 or so such objects have been cataloged and so far all have been deemed not to be headed our way in the next 100 years.

Anything smaller stands a better chance of not quite making it to the Earths surface, and only partially exterminating human kind. But even the smaller ones would take out cities, countries and have potential to cause global tsunami of a scale never scene in recent human history. Apparently is a proposal to start a project to look for the smaller objects which might number in the tens, if not hundreds of thousands, but at present it is deemed too expensive. The monumental price tag? Well its a snip at $235 million for a ground based system that could do the job in 20 years, or $400 million for a space based one that would take only seven years.

To me its a no brainer, even if team USA completely footed the bill it would be only just over $1 per US citizen for the year, shared across all nations its about 5 cents per man, woman and child. Now remember an object only a little larger than 2004 FH may not make it to the earths surface, but could easily produce a several hundred megaton airburst. If you can find a way to divert it or at least evacuate beneath it then you're going to save untold millions of lives. Just what kind of technologically advanced society doesn't care to invest less than the price of a postage stamp for each person to help avert such a calamitous event, but can afford $1 billion a week to hunt down one bad guy a bunch of other bad guys decided shouldn't exist any more?

I think its a society that either feels extremely lucky, or is too afraid to think about the consequences of actually discovering such a risk. If I was Bill Gates, or Paul Allen (who just donated $13.5M to fund SETI), I'd be at NASA's door tomorrow with my check for $500 million in hand. Each one of them has a market value that would be decimated overnight, if not made worthless by the market freefall that would occur if people thought there was an imminent asteroid strike coming. The only way to avoid such a problem is to catalog all risks and predict such things decades in advance so there is time to prepare and eliminate them.

Unfortunately, we're basically SOL until some people decide that investing in the future of the Earth is more important than a buying perhaps one less latte a year. Lets hope we all have a big rock to hide under when the shit, oops I mean asteroid, hits the fan.

3/22/2004 11:04:53 PM